周(zhou)四大盤(pan)略作探底(di)之(zhi)后便頑(wan)強回升，盤(pan)中(zhong)(zhong)一度大漲越過(guo)10日均線，午后逐波(bo)回落(luo)，最后小漲；滬深300指數(shu)(shu)最后仍下(xia)(xia)跌0.09%。期指走勢和(he)現(xian)(xian)貨(huo)基本一致(zhi)，其中(zhong)(zhong)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)合(he)約(yue)(yue)跌幅為(wei)0.10%，持(chi)倉量減(jian)(jian)(jian)少3027手(shou)(shou)(shou)至69424手(shou)(shou)(shou)；而(er)下(xia)(xia)月合(he)約(yue)(yue)跌幅為(wei)0.18%，持(chi)倉量增(zeng)加(jia)1566手(shou)(shou)(shou)至48092手(shou)(shou)(shou)。在(zai)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)合(he)約(yue)(yue)還有一周(zhou)多(duo)(duo)時間才交割(ge)的情(qing)況(kuang)下(xia)(xia)，下(xia)(xia)月合(he)約(yue)(yue)持(chi)倉量就多(duo)(duo)達近5萬手(shou)(shou)(shou)，這是很罕見的現(xian)(xian)象，表(biao)(biao)明多(duo)(duo)空(kong)(kong)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)已同時在(zai)兩(liang)個合(he)約(yue)(yue)上捉對(dui)廝殺(sha)，暗示(shi)(shi)多(duo)(duo)空(kong)(kong)雙方對(dui)后市現(xian)(xian)貨(huo)指數(shu)(shu)的走勢出現(xian)(xian)了巨大分(fen)歧。從主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)合(he)約(yue)(yue)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)席位(wei)持(chi)倉變化情(qing)況(kuang)看(kan)，空(kong)(kong)頭(tou)前(qian)20合(he)計減(jian)(jian)(jian)倉690手(shou)(shou)(shou)，而(er)多(duo)(duo)頭(tou)前(qian)20合(he)計減(jian)(jian)(jian)倉多(duo)(duo)達2498手(shou)(shou)(shou)，主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)凈(jing)空(kong)(kong)持(chi)倉增(zeng)加(jia)到(dao)2488手(shou)(shou)(shou)；這表(biao)(biao)明多(duo)(duo)頭(tou)主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)在(zai)盤(pan)中(zhong)(zhong)拉(la)升過(guo)程中(zhong)(zhong)紛紛趁(chen)機減(jian)(jian)(jian)倉，對(dui)繼續反攻缺乏信心。而(er)空(kong)(kong)軍司(si)令中(zhong)(zhong)信期貨(huo)則繼續加(jia)倉空(kong)(kong)單(dan)(dan)279手(shou)(shou)(shou)，同時減(jian)(jian)(jian)倉多(duo)(duo)單(dan)(dan)50手(shou)(shou)(shou)，其凈(jing)空(kong)(kong)持(chi)倉繼續增(zeng)加(jia)到(dao)6052手(shou)(shou)(shou)。綜(zong)合(he)分(fen)析，期指主(zhu)(zhu)(zhu)力(li)(li)行為(wei)暗示(shi)(shi)大盤(pan)繼續回落(luo)調整(zheng)的概率大。

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