每經(jing)AI快訊，5月5日(ri)，中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)企業聯合會發(fa)布的《2023年一(yi)季度全(quan)國(guo)(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)形勢分析預(yu)(yu)測報(bao)告》（簡稱《報(bao)告》）預(yu)(yu)測，2023年全(quan)國(guo)(guo)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)總(zong)體(ti)緊(jin)平衡，部分區域(yu)(yu)用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)高峰時(shi)段電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)偏緊(jin)。其中(zhong)，二季度南方區域(yu)(yu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)形勢偏緊(jin)，迎峰度夏期(qi)(qi)間，華東、華中(zhong)、南方區域(yu)(yu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)形勢偏緊(jin)，華北(bei)、東北(bei)、西北(bei)區域(yu)(yu)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)供(gong)(gong)需(xu)基本(ben)平衡。 宏觀經(jing)濟(ji)及氣候(hou)均是(shi)(shi)影(ying)響(xiang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)消(xiao)費(fei)需(xu)求(qiu)增(zeng)(zeng)長的重(zhong)要方面(mian)。《報(bao)告》指出(chu)，2023年國(guo)(guo)務(wu)院《政府工作報(bao)告》提出(chu)國(guo)(guo)內生產(chan)總(zong)值增(zeng)(zeng)長預(yu)(yu)期(qi)(qi)目(mu)標(biao)是(shi)(shi)5%左右，2023年宏觀經(jing)濟(ji)運(yun)行總(zong)體(ti)回升(sheng)將促(cu)進電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)消(xiao)費(fei)需(xu)求(qiu)增(zeng)(zeng)長。受上年同期(qi)(qi)低基數等因素影(ying)響(xiang)，預(yu)(yu)計今年二季度電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力(li)(li)消(xiao)費(fei)增(zeng)(zeng)速(su)將明顯回升(sheng)，拉(la)動上半年全(quan)社會用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量同比增(zeng)(zeng)長6%左右。 正常氣候(hou)情(qing)況下，預(yu)(yu)計全(quan)國(guo)(guo)最高用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)負荷(he)13.7億千瓦(wa)左右，比2022年增(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)8000萬千瓦(wa)左右；若(ruo)出(chu)現(xian)長時(shi)段大范圍極端(duan)氣候(hou)，則全(quan)國(guo)(guo)最高用電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)負荷(he)可能(neng)比2022年增(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)1億千瓦(wa)左右。（澎湃新聞）